Year End: Jayson Werth is one of the best hitters in baseball and had the best season of his career

Jayson Werth
Jayson Werth (Photo credit: Wikipedia)

I am trumpeting a narrative that most “experts” didn’t see coming.  Jayson Werth had his best season hitting of his career this year.  The experts who guessed that his best days were behind him were wrong, Rizzo was right.  Someone has to say this, because Rizzo and Werth will look like douche bags if they say it.  To be fair, I have been on the Werth band wagon for a while, here is an argument we had at the beginning of the the year.

Lets look how the hitting stats stack up.  I am a huge fan of wOBA because it does a much better job quantifying power, average and OBP then Slugging and OPS.  Every time I hear a GM talk about baseball metric they usually quote wOBA as the best at measuring offensive performance

Miguel Cabrera 0.455
Mike Trout 0.423
Chris Davis 0.421
Paul Goldschmidt 0.404
Jayson Werth 0.403
Troy Tulowitzki 0.400
Joey Votto 0.400
David Ortiz 0.400
Michael Cuddyer 0.396

According to wOBA he is the 5th best hitter in baseball.  He is ahead of guys like Votto and David Ortiz. Now it gets interesting.  wRC+ takes the park factor into account and them normalized the data to 100 (100 being average MLB hitter)

Name wRC+
Miguel Cabrera 192
Mike Trout 176
Chris Davis 167
Jayson Werth 160
Paul Goldschmidt 156
Joey Votto 156
David Ortiz 152
Troy Tulowitzki 143
Michael Cuddyer 140

It gets a little bit tighter.  Players that play a lot of games in band boxes like Coors field like Tulo , Goldschmidt and small parks like Votto and Davis (yes OPACY is a band box) are brought back down to earth a little bit.  In wRC+ Werth moves up to 4th and closes the gap between Davis and himself.

Now lets see how this compares to Jayson’s career numbers:

Season wOBA wRC+
2002 0.308 83
2003 0.288 68
2004 0.355 116
2005 0.317 91
2007 0.382 126
2008 0.374 125
2009 0.378 130
2010 0.396 146
2011 0.319 100
2012 0.362 128
2013 0.403 160

So, that makes this year his best season ever.  All those who thought he was a product of CBP were wrong, he just exceeded his best season in Philly by a mile.

In Washington baseball history only the 1928 season of Hall of Famer Goose Goslin and the 1968-70 season of Frank Howard are better.  If you want to count the Expos, only Vlad Guerrero in 2000 matched him, Dawson never had a season as good as Werth did this year.

Bottom line, Werth had a hitting season that places him in the elite of MLB.

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18 thoughts on “Year End: Jayson Werth is one of the best hitters in baseball and had the best season of his career”

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