Introducing the Contract Recoup Tracker

This year, we decided to keep a running total of the value measured in fWAR compared to the players current contracts.   The cost per WAR is 6 million, which is the going rate on the free agent market for this previous off season.

One thing that is obvious, the younger the player, the less they make, the easier it is to recoup the contract cost.  I expect this to be interesting as the season goes on as we argue if a veteran is worth it.  Another thing to consider is that recouping contracts do not guarantee that the Nats will have a successful year, just that they allocated money prudently.  The tracker includes the % of salary recouped and the projected day of the season which the player will recoup.  In case you wonder last year the team had 35.9 WAR for about 206 million in value.  The team is currently on pace for 62 WAR mostly thanks to the Mets bullpen.

Statistically, the Nats had a very good first week of the season, Jayson Werth, despite playing under a contract deemed way too much the day he signed it, is on pace to recoup by the All-Star break.  Adam LaRoche, a player many were prepared to retire after last year is on pace to recoup by the end of May. Also, Congrats to Tanner Roark, Taylor Jordan, and Aaron Barrett for already recouping their league minimum salary.

 

Player Salary WAR % Recoup By Game
Roark, Tanner $506,100 0.2 237%
Barrett, Aaron $500,000 0.1 120%
Jordan, Taylor $504,300 0.1 119%
Rendon, Anthony $2,700,000 0.3 67% 9
Lobaton, Jose $950,000 0.1 63% 10
Strasburg, Stephen $3,975,000 0.3 45% 13
Stammen, Craig $1,375,000 0.1 44% 14
Span, Denard $6,500,000 0.2 18% 33
Storen, Drew $3,450,000 0.1 17% 35
LaRoche, Adam $12,000,000 0.3 15% 40
Gonzalez, Gio $8,600,000 0.2 14% 43
Desmond, Ian $6,500,000 0.1 9% 65
Werth, Jayson $20,571,429 0.3 9% 69
Zimmerman, Ryan $14,000,000 0.2 9% 70
Zimmermann, Jordan $7,500,000 0.1 8% 75
Soriano, Rafael $14,000,000 0.1 4% 140
Davis, Erik $501,400 0 0%
Fister, Doug $7,200,000 0 0%
Espinosa, Danny $540,850 0 0%
Frandsen, Kevin $900,000 0 0%
McLouth, Nate $5,000,000 0 0%
Purke, Matt $1,037,500 0 0%
Ohlendorf, Ross $1,250,000 0 0%
Hairston, Scott $2,500,000 0 0%
Detwiler, Ross $3,000,000 0 0%
Clippard, Tyler $5,875,000 0 0%
Ramos, Wilson $2,095,000 -0.1 -29%
Blevins, Jerry $1,675,000 -0.1 -36%
Harper, Bryce $2,150,000 -0.3 -84%
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